Nnwinnadeɛ · Nkontaabu afidie

Asiane sɛ agorɔ dwetire bɛsa nkontaabu afidie

Hokwan a wobɛdu mfasoɔ botaeɛ bi ho ansa na agorɔ dwetire no asa, sɛ wode sika pɛ to sika pɛ bɛt so daa.

Agorɔ dwetire
Bɛt
Botaeɛ
du botaeɛ ho
24.6%
sika sa kane
75.4%
botaeɛ
+$250
kyɛfa (a / b)
50 / 25
kyinhyia a wɔhwɛ kwan ansa na ɛwie
1,168
Mmɔdenbɔ no EV
−$315.70
Sɛdeɛ wobɛkenkan deɛ ɛfiri mu ba

Sɛ wode $10 to bɛt mprɛ biara a, wowɔ hokwan 24.6% sɛ wobɛdane $500 ayɛ no $750 ansa na wo sika asa. Bɛt akɛseɛ ma saa hokwan no kɔ soro ɛfiri sɛ kyinhyia kakra kyerɛ sɛ 2.70% ka kakra; nanso ɛma agorɔ no yɛ hu kɛseɛ. Sɔ $100 bɛt ne $5 bɛt hwɛ na hunu nsonsonoeɛ no.

Ɔkwan ne deɛ yɛgyina so
Sika agorɔfoɔ sɛeɛ a p = 18/37: P(botaeɛ) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = agorɔ dwetire/bɛt, b = botaeɛ/bɛt. Bere tenten a wɔhwɛ kwan a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Sika pɛ bɛt a wɔto daa nko ara.