Akwan · Bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ a ɛkɔ soro ahwereɛ akyi · simma 9

Martingale roulette ɔkwan

Martingale roulette ɔkwan no bɔ bɛt no mmɔho mmienu ahwereɛ biara akyi na ɛsan kɔ bɛt a wofi ase so nkonim akyi. Nkonim biara gye ahwereɛ a atwam nyinaa ne kyɛfa baako ka ho. Krataafa a ɛwɔ aseɛ ha kyerɛ deɛ ɛno yɛ agorɔ dwetire, ne deɛ enti a ɛntumi nsesa ahwereɛ a wɔhwɛ kwan.

Mmuaeɛ tiawaƐntumi nni ntwahonan no so nkonim. Sɛ roulette mmɔho mmienu ɔkwan no, Martingale ma nkonim nketewa pii ne ahwereɛ akɛseɛ bi bere ano bere ano. Kyinhyia dodoɔ biara mu no, ahwereɛ a wɔhwɛ kwan da so yɛ bɛt sika nyinaa 2.70%, na ɛfiri sɛ bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ no de sika pii to no nti, ahwereɛ a wɔhwɛ kwan wɔ agorɔ bere biara mu so sene sika pɛ a wɔto daa deɛ, ɛnsua.

Ɔkwan bɛn so na Martingale roulette nhyehyɛe no yɛ adwuma?

Hwere, na bɔ no mmɔho mmienu. Di nkonim, na san kɔ bɛt a wofi ase so. Ɛno ne nhyehyɛe no nyinaa. Sɛ bɛt a wofi ase yɛ $10 na ɛpono ahyeɛ yɛ $500 a, ntoatoasoɔ no ba awieeɛ ahwereɛ nsia akyi. Santen a ɛtwa toɔ no yɛ hokwan a wobɛdu saa anammɔn no so wɔ sika pɛ bɛt so, baabi a ahwereɛ biara hokwan yɛ 19/37.

ahwereɛ #bɛt a ɛdi sosika nyinaa a ɛwɔ asiane mup(du ho)
0$10$10100.00%
1$20$3051.35%
2$40$7026.37%
3$80$15013.54%
4$160$3106.95%
5$320$6303.57%
6$640$1,2701.83%
7$1,280$2,5500.94%

Bɛt a wofi ase $10, ɛpono ahyeɛ $500. Ahwereɛ nsia akyi no, bɛt a ɛdi so yɛ $640, a ɛboro ahyeɛ no: bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ no bubu a woahwere $630. Hokwan a ahwereɛ nsia bɛtoa so wɔ kɔkɔɔ so yɛ (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, bɛyɛ mprɛ baako wɔ mmɔdenbɔ 55 biara mu.

Nantew nhyehyɛe no mu

Ahwereɛ bɔ bɛt sika no mmɔho mmienu. Nkonim san kɔ mfitiaseɛ.

1248163264Hwere
bɛt sika a ɛdi so1deɛ aba kɔsi seesei0kyinhyia0

Bɛt sika ne deɛ ɛfiri mu ba no wɔ bɛt a wofi ase no kyɛfa mu.

Agorɔ bere bi te sɛn?

Anammɔn nketewa kɔ soro, na afei amoa. Wɔ roulette Martingale mu no, mmɔho mmienu ntoatoasoɔ biara a ɛwie de bɛt a wofi ase baako ka ho, enti nsensanee no foro nkakrankakra. Ntoatoasoɔ a ɛpem ahyeɛ $500 no fa $630 prɛko pɛ: anammɔn 63 a ɛte saa.

Martingale agorɔ bere du, bɛt a wofi ase $10, ahyeɛ $500deɛ ɛfiri mu ba ne mfitiaseɛ
+$2,500$0−$1,000+$1,840−$5000125250375500kyinhyiadeɛ ɛfiri mu ba
agorɔ bere 1,000 × kyinhyia 500 · afasebiri p10/p25/p75/p90, bruu a ɛnyɛ den mfinimfini nɔma, nhwɛsoɔ 83 a ɛnyɛ den · fa mouse fa mfonini no so na hunu nkyɛmu wɔ kyinhyia bi so
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • mfinimfini nɔma −$1,000
  • p75 +$930
  • p90 +$1,830
agorɔ bere 1,000 × kyinhyia 500 · y-axis no atwa wɔ ɔha nkyɛmu 1–99 (ano koraa −$1,000 kɔsi +$2,640) · kyinhyia 500 · bɛt a wofi ase $10 · sika pɛ
Nsensanee biara yɛ sika pɛ bɛt agorɔ bere baako a ɛfiri agorɔ dwetire $1,000 so. Foro tenten, tɔ prɛko pɛ.
Anammɔn nketewa kɔ soro, na afei amoa a ɛfa ne nyinaa prɛko pɛ.

Sɔhwɛ agorɔ

Nhyehyɛe biara yɛ agorɔ bere 2,000 a ɛyɛ sika pɛ bɛt a ɛfiri agorɔ dwetire $1,000 so. Nsɛm a ɛfiri mu ba sesa ntɛm ara.

Bɛt a wofi ase
Ɛpono ahyeɛ
Kyinhyia wɔ agorɔ bere biara mu
Agorɔ bere mu nsɛm · agorɔ bere 2,000 · kyinhyia 100 · bɛt a wofi ase $10 · ahyeɛ $500ahwereɛ ← | → mfasoɔ
−$1,000$0+$650
fa mouse no si dua bi so · dua kɔkɔɔ yɛ agorɔ bere a ɛhweree, ahabammono deɛ ɛdii nkonim, dua a ne kɔla ayɛ fitaa no da $0 ntam
agorɔ bere a ɛnyaa mfasoɔ
40.8%
mfinimfini nɔma a ɛfiri mu ba
−$130
mfinimfini boɔ a ɛfiri mu ba
−$66.44
bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ no bubuiɛ
59.3% wɔ agorɔ bere no mu
ɔha nkyɛmu a ɛtɔ so 5
−$1,000
dwetire so tew kɛseɛ koraa mfinimfini nɔma
−$650

Agorɔ bere dodoɔ no ara wie a mfasoɔ kakra wom (40.8%), na ɛno na ɛtwetwe nnipa. Mfinimfini boɔ no yɛ ahwereɛ (−$66.44) ɛfiri sɛ agorɔ bere a ɛhwere no ahwereɛ yɛ kɛseɛ: bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ no duruu ɛpono ahyeɛ wɔ 59.3% agorɔ bere mu. Agorɔfoɔ a ɔde sika pɛ $10 to daa wɔ kyinhyia koro no ara mu hwɛ kwan sɛ ɔbɛhwere bɛyɛ $27.

Mprɛ dodoɔ a ahwereɛ ntoatoasoɔ ba

Sika pɛ bɛt wɔ hwee baako ntwahonan so hwere kyinhyia 19 wɔ 37 mu. Santen biara kyerɛ hokwan a ɛbɛma kyinhyia ntoatoasoɔ bi nyinaa ahwere, ne sika a Martingale agorɔfoɔ, a ɔbɔ bɛt no mmɔho mmienu ahwereɛ biara akyi, ahwere kɔsi saa bere no.

Bɛt a wofi ase
ahwereɛ a ɛtoa sohokwanbɛyɛ 1 wɔ muahwereɛ kɔsi seeseibɛt a ɛdi so
151.4%2$1$2
226.4%4$3$4
313.5%7$7$8
47.0%14$15$16
53.6%28$31$32
61.8%55$63$64
70.94%106$127$128
80.48%207$255$256
90.25%403$511$512
100.13%784$1,023$1,024
110.065%1527$2,047$2,048
120.034%2974$4,095$4,096
130.017%5792$8,191$8,192
140.0089%11279$16,383$16,384
150.0046%21965$32,767$32,768

Hokwan no yɛ 19/37 a wɔde bɔ ne ho mmɔho mprɛ baako ahwereɛ biara mu, a wɔfiri kyinhyia baako bi so kan. Agorɔ bere tenten wɔ kyinhyia pii a ntoatoasoɔ a ɛte saa betumi afi ase, enti anwummerɛ mu no, ɛbɛtumi aba sene sɛdeɛ santen baako kyerɛ.

Ahwereɛ dunum ntoatoasoɔ ba bɛyɛ mprɛ baako wɔ mmɔdenbɔ 22,000 mu. Ɛte sɛ deɛ asiane nni mu. Nanso ɛnte saa, nneɛma mmienu nti. Kyinhyia biara fi mmɔdenbɔ foforɔ ase, na anwummerɛ baako mu wɔ kyinhyia ahaha pii. Na obiara nnu dunum ho: firi bɛt a wofi ase $10 so no, ahyeɛ $500 no twa mmɔho mmienu no so ahwereɛ nsia akyi, a ɛba bɛyɛ mprɛ baako wɔ mmɔdenbɔ 55 mu.

Adɛn nti na ɛntumi nsesa odds no?

Boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan bom. Sɛ bɛt biara ankasa boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan yɛ ne bɛt sika −2.70% a, ɛnde bɛt ntoatoasoɔ biara, sɛdeɛ wɔyi bɛt sika no biara, boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan yɛ bɛt sika nyinaa −2.70%. Bɛt sika a woyi no tumi gyina deɛ atwam so; ɛntumi nnyina deɛ ɛdi so no so.

E[Σ bᵢ·Xᵢ] = Σ bᵢ·E[Xᵢ] = −(1/37)·Σ bᵢ
wɔyi bᵢ ansa na kyinhyia i aba; Xᵢ = ±1 a ɛmfa bᵢ ho

Adwene mfomsoɔ a ɛtaa ba

“Ɛhia sɛ wodi nkonim prɛko pɛ na woagye biribiara.”
Ɛyɛ nokorɛ wɔ bɛt nsakraeɛ ntoatoasoɔ a ɛwie mu. Ntoatoasoɔ a ɛnwie, ɛfiri ɛpono ahyeɛ anaa wo agorɔ dwetire nti, hwere ntoatoasoɔ no nyinaa, na saa ntoatoasoɔ no yɛ kɛseɛ sɛdeɛ wɔayɛ no.
“Sɛ agorɔ dwetire no so yie a, ɛrentumi nhwere.”
Ɛpono ahyeɛ no twa mmɔho mmienu no so ansa na agorɔ dwetire dodoɔ no ara ayɛ saa. Sɛ ahyeɛ nni hɔ a, agorɔ dwetire a ɛhia no kɔ soro ntɛmntɛm, nanso mfasoɔ wɔ ɔkwan no kyinhyia mua biara mu tena kyɛfa baako.
“Ahwereɛ nsia a ɛtoa so ntumi mma koraa.”
Wɔ kɔkɔɔ so no, ɛba wɔ kyinhyia nsia ntoatoasoɔ 1.83% mu. Wɔ agorɔ bere a kyinhyia 200 wom mu no, wobɛtaa ahunu nsia ntoatoasoɔ baako anyɛ yiye koraa.

Serew kakra

Nkonim nketewa pii, ahwereɛ kɛseɛ baako a ɛnnba mpɛn pii. Na wo ankasa na wotua ka no.

Nkonim nketewa pii, ahwereɛ kɛseɛ baako a ɛnnba mpɛn pii. Na wo ankasa na wotua ka no.

Akontaabu mu awieeɛMartingale nhyehyɛe a ɛwɔ roulette mu no de hokwan kɛseɛ a ɛma nkonim ketewa sesa hokwan ketewa a ɛma ahwereɛ kɛseɛ. Ɛte sɛ insurance a wɔtɔn no wɔ ɔkwan a ɛbɔ abira so: anadwo dodoɔ no ara wonya ka ketewa, na wo ankasa na wotua ka kɛseɛ a ɛnnba mpɛn pii no. Ɛma bɛt sika wɔ agorɔ bere biara mu kɔ soro, enti ɛma ahwereɛ a wɔhwɛ kwan wɔ agorɔ bere biara mu kɔ soro. Ɛntew kasino mfasoɔ so, na ɛrentumi ntew so da. Sɛ wode Martingale ɔkwan di dwuma wɔ roulette mu a, hunu baabi a ɛbɛbubu ansa: sɛ bɛt a wofi ase yɛ $10 na ahyeɛ yɛ $500 a, ɛyɛ ahwereɛ nsia a ɛtoa so, adeɛ a ne hokwan yɛ 1.8% wɔ mmɔdenbɔ biara mu. Hwɛ Agorɔ dwetire so hwɛ ne Ahwereɛ ahyeɛ / mfasoɔ ahyeɛ.
Insurance a wɔtɔn no wɔ ɔkwan a ɛbɔ abira so: ka nketewa anadwo biara, na agorɔfoɔ no na ɔtua ka kɛseɛ a ɛnnba mpɛn pii no.