Nkekaho · Nhomasua · simma 7

Roulette ne akontaabu adesua

Roulette ntwahonan ma ɛyɛ mmrɛ sɛ wobɛhunu hokwan wɔ w'adwene mu. Sɛdeɛ wode bɛdi dwuma wɔ adesua mu a wonhyɛ sika agorɔ ho nkuran ni.

Mmuaeɛ tiawa

Deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba aduasa nson a emu biara hokwan yɛ pɛ, akatua a ɛnsesa, kyinhyia a ɛmfa ho, boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan a ɛyɛ negatif a wonim, ne abakɔsɛm tenten a nnipa adi mfomsoɔ wɔ ho. Roulette kyerɛ boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan, nsakraeɛakontaabuNsakraeɛNsusuiɛ a ɛkyerɛ sɛdeɛ nsɛm a ɛfiri mu ba no trɛ wɔ boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan ho. Ɛso ma nɔma baako bɛt, ɛsua ma sika pɛ bɛt.Kenkan ne nyinaa →, dodoɔ kɛseɛ mmaraakontaabuDodoɔ kɛseɛ mmaraNsɛm a ɛmfa ho mfinimfini boɔ kɔ hyia boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan bere a sɔhwɛ dodoɔ renyini.Kenkan ne nyinaa →, sika agorɔfoɔ adwene mfomsoɔ, nsusuiɛ sɔhwɛ ne awoda asɛmmisa yie sene sika ti ne akyi anaa ate.

deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba nyinaa
37, ne nyinaa yɛ pɛ
nsusuiɛ a ɛka ho asɛm
≥ 8
nnwinnadeɛ a ɛwɔ saa wɛbsaet yi so
kwa, wɔ browser mu
adesua hwee
EV = −1/37, bere nyinaa

Adɛn nti na roulette

Sika wɔ deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba mmienu na ate wɔ nsia; ne mmienu nyinaa sua dodo sɛ ɛbɛkyerɛ awoda asɛmmisaakontaabuAwoda asɛmmisaNnipa dodoɔ a ɛhia ansa na ebia baanu bɛnya awoda koro, anaa kyinhyia dodoɔ a ɛhia ansa na ebia nɔma bi bɛsan aba. Wɔ ntwahonan a ntokuru 37 wom so no, kyinhyia 8 dɔɔso ma hokwan a ɛboro fa.Kenkan ne nyinaa → anaa chi-square sɔhwɛnhwehwɛmu danChi-square sɔhwɛAkontaabu sɔhwɛ a ɛde mprɛ a bɔɔl tɔɔ tokuru biara mu toto n/37 a wɔhwɛ kwan ho. Wɔde hwɛ sɛ ntwahonan bi yɛ animhwɛ anaa.Kenkan ne nyinaa → wɔ ɛkwan a ɛyɛ nwonwa so. Kaad kuo wɔ nkaeɛ. Roulette wɔ deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba 37 a emu biara hokwan yɛ pɛ, akatuasikaAkatuaDeɛ bɛt a edi nkonim de ma, a wɔka no sɛ “X tia 1” ka bɛt sika a ɛsan ba no ho.Kenkan ne nyinaa → a ɛnsesa a ɛma boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan yɛ akontaabu santen baako, kyinhyia a ɛmfa ho ɛnam sɛdeɛ wɔayɛ ntwahonan no so, ne kasino mfasoɔ a ɛsua sɛdeɛ ɛbɛtumi ahinta wɔ agorɔ bere baako mu, na ɛyɛ kɛseɛ sɛdeɛ ɛbɛdi afe mu so. Ɛsan wɔ mfeɛ ɔha mmienu adwene mfomsoɔ a wɔakyerɛw to hɔ a wobɛtumi apɛɛpɛ mu.

Sika, ate ne kaad gyae kwan ma roulette deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba 37 a emu biara hokwan yɛ pɛ.

Chi-square sɔhwɛ

Adesua ntoatoasoɔ

adesuansusuiɛroulette nhwɛsoɔadwinnadeɛ a ɛwɔ saa wɛbsaet yi so
1hokwan sɛ akontabuop(bɛt) = n/37Odds nkontaabu afidie
2boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwanEV = (n/37)(36/n − 1) − (37 − n)/37 = −1/37Bɛt nhyehyɛ afidie
3kyinhyia a ɛmfa ho ne mmɔho mmara(18/37)² ma kɔkɔɔ mmienuNtoatoasoɔ hokwan
4deɛ ɛka ho ne “prɛ baako koraa”1 − (36/37)³⁷ = 63.7%Roulette hokwan
5nsakraeɛ ne gyinapɛn nsakraeɛσ = 5.84 (nɔma baako bɛt) ne 1.00 (kɔkɔɔ), EV koroNsakraeɛ
6dodoɔ kɛseɛ mmara (ne deɛ ɛnka)mfinimfini boɔ no bɛn baabi koro; ne nyinaa twe ne hoAhyiaeɛ wɔ bere tenten mu
7sika agorɔfoɔ adwene mfomsoɔtuntum 26, 1913Sika agorɔfoɔ adwene mfomsoɔ
8nantew a ɛba kwa ne sika nyinaa sasika agorɔfoɔ ahwereɛ akontaabu nhyehyɛeAsiane sɛ agorɔ dwetire bɛsa nkontaabu afidie
9nsusuiɛ sɔhwɛchi-square wɔ ntokuru 37 soNtwahonan animhwɛ nhwehwɛmu afidie
10awoda asɛmmisanɔma bi bɛsan aba wɔ kyinhyia 8 mu, 56%Asɛmmisa: awoda ntwahonan
11Monte Carlo sɔhwɛagorɔ bere 10,000 wɔ sekan baako muBɛt ɔkwan sɔhwɛ agorɔ
12deɛ enti a nhyehyɛe nyɛ adwumaboɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan bom ka bom pɛpɛɛpɛWobɛtumi adi roulette so nkonim?

Sɛdeɛ wobɛkyerɛkyerɛ a worenkyerɛkyerɛ sika agorɔ

Fa agorɔ sika hunu ne Demo agorɔ, a sika ankasa nni mu, di dwuma. Fi boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwanakontaabuBoɔ a wɔhwɛ kwanNsunsuansoɔ mfinimfini boɔ wɔ bɛt biara so wɔ bere tenten mu. Bɛt sika no −1/37 wɔ Yuropu bɛt biara a ɛyɛ daa deɛ so.Kenkan ne nyinaa → no ase na san kɔ so bere nyinaa: dwumadie biara wie sɛ “na boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan no yɛ bɛt sika no −1/37”. Fa nhyehyɛe no di dwuma sɛ nhwɛsoɔ a ɛkyerɛ mfomsoɔ, ɛnyɛ sɛ akwan: dwumadie no ne sɛ wobɛhwehwɛ mfomsoɔ no, na sɔhwɛ agorɔ no ma mfomsoɔ no da adi wɔ sekan kakra mu. Ka nnipa a wɔhwereeɛ abakɔsɛm ho. Adesua no ne sɛ akontaabu no na ɛdi nkonim, na ɛno ne dawurubɔ deɛ ne ho kyiwa.

Dwumadie a ɛyɛ adwuma

Ma asuafoɔ nsusu kyinhyia dodoɔ a ɛbɛkɔ ansa na nɔma bi asan aba, na afei wɔnni Demo agorɔ no mprɛ du (awoda asɛmmisa). Ma wɔnkyerɛw “nhyehyɛe” bi wɔ ɔkwan nsiesie afidie no mu na wɔnyɛ agorɔ bere 10,000 (boɔ a wɔhwɛ kwan bom ka bom pɛpɛɛpɛ). Ma wɔmmu 1913 ntoatoasoɔ no hokwanakontaabuHokwanHokwan a biribi bɛba, firi 0 kɔsi 1 anaa 0% kɔsi 100%. Nɔma baako: 1/37 = 2.70%.Kenkan ne nyinaa →, na afei hokwan sɛ ntoatoasoɔ bi bɛba baabi wɔ Monte Carlo mfeɛ aduonum mu (nsonsonoeɛ a ɛda asɛm pɔtee bi ne asɛm biara ntam). Ma wɔnhwehwɛ tokurunneɛma a wɔde diTokuruRotor no so tokuru 37 a nɔma wom no mu baako. Wɔfrɛ no nso slot, cup.Kenkan ne nyinaa → a “ɛyɛ animhwɛ” wɔ kyinhyia abakɔsɛm a ɛteɛ bi mu, na afei wɔmfrafra nsɛm no (ntoto pii).

Sɛdeɛ asuafoɔ adwene tumi di mfomsoɔ ntɛm (deɛ adesuakuo taa susu ne nokorɛ)
kyinhyia ansa na nɔma bi asan aba: nsusuiɛ ≈ 19, nokorɛ 8
8 ne 19
p(nkonim ≥1 wɔ kyinhyia 37 mu): nsusuiɛ 100%, nokorɛ 63.7%
63.7% ne 100%
p(kɔkɔɔ wɔ kɔkɔɔ 10 akyi): nsusuiɛ “ɛso tew”, nokorɛ 48.65%
48.65%
agorɔ bere a mfasoɔ wom, Martingale: nsusuiɛ ≈ 95%, nokorɛ ≈ 78%
78% ne 95%
mfinimfini boɔ, Martingale: nsusuiɛ “positif”, nokorɛ negatif
negatif
050100
Ntam kwan biara yɛ adesua. Deɛ ɛtwa to no ne adesua no nyinaa.

Kyinhyia a atwam a wɔatintim no kenkanAkontaabu mu nnyinasoɔ

Adɛn nti na ɛtena adwene mu

Asuafoɔ kae tuntumbɛtTuntumSika pɛ bɛt wɔ nɔma tuntum 18 no so. Franse kasa mu: noir.Kenkan ne nyinaa → 26 no, Jagger ntwahonan no, ne bere a sɔhwɛ agorɔ no kyerɛɛ sɛ wɔn nhyehyɛe rehwere. Ansa na sɔhwɛ no bɛba no, wɔn werɛ afiri hokwan a ɛyɛ adwene mu nko ara; ntwahonan deɛ, wɔn werɛ mfiri. Abrabɔ pa hama no da hɔ pefee: fa agorɔ no ara kyerɛkyerɛ akontaabu a ɛma agorɔ no yɛ bɛt bɔne, na asuafoɔ a wɔbɛdi sika agorɔ akyire no bɛnim ne ka koraa.

Roulette agorɔfoɔ a wɔagye din

Nsɛmmisa

Ɛfata ma sukuu mmofra?

Sɛ wode agorɔ sika hunu di dwuma na woka pefee sɛ kasino mfasoɔakontaabuKasino mfasoɔBɛt sika biara mu kyɛfa a kasino no kora wɔ mfinimfini mu: 2.70% wɔ Yuropu roulette mu.Kenkan ne nyinaa → no ne adesua no a, ɛfata; nhomasua nhyehyɛe pii de ate ne lɔtri di dwuma dedaw; roulette yɛ ɛno ara a emu dɔ.

Krataafa bɛn na ɛsɛ sɛ ɔkyerɛkyerɛfoɔ fi ase?

Kasino mfasoɔ, afei Demo agorɔ no, afei Bɛt ɔkwan sɔhwɛ agorɔ no.

Demo agorɔ no yɛ dwoodwoo ma adesuadan?

Sika ankasa nni mu, akawnt nni mu, na nkitahodeɛ biara nni hɔ a ɛkɔ adwumayɛfoɔ ho.

Serew kakra

Deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba aduasa nson, kasino mfasoɔ baako, mfeɛ ɔha mmienu mfomsoɔ a wobɛsua afiri mu.

Deɛ ɛbɛtumi aba aduasa nson, kasino mfasoɔ baako, mfeɛ ɔha mmienu mfomsoɔ a wobɛsua afiri mu.

Nsɛm fibea

  1. Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, 3rd ed., 1968. Sika agorɔfoɔ ahwereɛ, ti XIV.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ti 13, roulette.
wɔsan hwɛɛ mu 2026-09-28nhwɛsoɔ: Yuropu, hwee baakoakontaabu ɔkwan ↗nsɛm fibea ↗